Arsenal visit a noisy Elland Road on Saturday seeking to halt a three-match winless Premier League run, with Viktor Gyokeres eager for the challenge and Opta data still backing Mikel Arteta's side strongly
despite recent setbacks in domestic fixtures.
Arsenal have drawn 0-0 with Liverpool and Nottingham Forest before a 3-2 home loss to Manchester United, yet remain four points clear of Manchester City and Aston Villa at the top, while Leeds arrive in strong form but carrying memories of August's heavy defeat.
Arteta's team moved beyond their league stumble on Wednesday, beating Kairat 3-2 to finish first in the Champions League league phase, whereas Leeds secured a 1-1 draw at Everton and now have just one defeat across their last 10 Premier League matches, underlining why Elland Road is considered a difficult venue.
Leeds are unbeaten in five league games at home, which contrasts with Arsenal's recent domestic sequence, yet the visitors have not lost consecutive Premier League fixtures since December 2003, a record that supports their position as favourites despite the pressure of defending top spot.
Yes, it'll be nice [playing there]. I look forward to every game, Gyokeres told reporters. It will be a tough away game. We obviously hope to perform well and to get all three points. We've done very well so far, but we have to continue to do the same. We have to try to be present, work hard, and now we are looking forward to Saturday's game.
After a 5-0 loss at Emirates Stadium in August, Leeds head coach Daniel Farke recognises the scale of the assignment against the league leaders and emphasises both Arsenal's consistency and Leeds' potential when Elland Road energy is high.
It's one of the toughest tasks you can have, he told reporters of facing Arsenal. I have to give Mikel lots of praise. He's developed Arsenal into probably the most consistent side, if you judge the last three years, in Europe. But we also know if we are at the top of our game, and we are at our very best, and especially at home, we can deliver against any opponent.
Hard work pays off. pic.twitter.com/nFhtsgZWdy Arsenal (@Arsenal) January 29, 2026
Leeds vs Arsenal key players to watch
Focus has often centred on Dominic Calvert-Lewin in Leeds' attack, but Anton Stach underlined wider threats at Everton, where the adaptable midfielder assisted James Justin's goal, taking Stach's Premier League tally to three goals and three assists during an impressive first campaign in England's top flight.
All the angles: James Justinpic.twitter.com/dZEV2OFvAA Leeds United (@LUFC) January 28, 2026
Gyokeres arrives in West Yorkshire after scoring against Kairat, making three goals in five matches in all competitions, with two assists in that spell, and though the Sweden international has five goals from 21 league appearances, two came in August's 5-0 win over Leeds.
Leeds vs Arsenal historical record and prediction
Recent history between these clubs favours Arsenal strongly, as Leeds are without a home league win over Arsenal in six attempts since November 2000, losing four of those at Elland Road, with three defeats ending by a 4-1 scoreline that highlights how punishing the visitors can be when chances appear.
Across all league meetings, Arsenal have won the last six games against Leeds by a combined score of 20-5, their best ever sequence in this fixture, while Leeds have never won a home Premier League match against a side starting the day first in the table, drawing seven and losing seven in those 14 occasions.
OPTA's model reflects that pattern for Leeds vs Arsenal, assigning the hosts a modest chance of victory, a slightly higher probability of a draw, and a clear majority likelihood for an away win, in line with Arsenal's long unbeaten run at Elland Road and enduring resilience after setbacks.
| Outcome | Opta win probability |
|---|---|
| Leeds win | 15.3% |
| Draw | 18.2% |
| Arsenal win | 66.6% |
With Arsenal protecting a narrow lead in the title race and Leeds defending an unbeaten home run, Saturday's Leeds vs Arsenal meeting sets up a contrast between long-term dominance and current Elland Road momentum, with both sides drawing confidence from recent performances despite very different expectations.


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