Liverpool head into their Premier League clash with Burnley on an 11-game unbeaten run in all competitions, having beaten Barnsley 4-1 in the FA Cup. Burnley finally ended a long winless spell with a 5-1 victory over Millwall, but remain 19th and eight points from safety.
Recent league history strongly favours Liverpool. Burnley have lost six straight Premier League meetings against Liverpool, by a combined score of 12-1, since a 1-0 win at Anfield in January 2021. OPTA’s model gives Liverpool a 76.3% chance of victory, with Burnley rated at 9.6%.
Liverpool’s sequence of 11 matches without defeat includes high-level results, such as a Champions League away win against Inter and a draw with Premier League leaders Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium.
However, Arne Slot’s side have also been held twice by Leeds United and once by Sunderland during this period.
Andy Robertson is pleased that Liverpool have stabilised results after a difficult earlier spell, yet believes standards must rise. "I think some of the performances still have to be better," said Robertson. Liverpool drew 1-1 with Sunderland and 0-0 with Leeds at Anfield, both against promoted opponents expected to be beaten.
Robertson highlighted how Liverpool’s run mixes missed chances and strong displays. "Within that, obviously, you’ve got [moments where] you throw it away, you’ve got a draw against Leeds at home, a draw against Sunderland at homegames that you are probably expected to win. But within that as well, you'vegot a draw at the Emirates, you've got a win at the San Sirogames that weren't easy. "
The defender also underlined the importance of shifting from simply avoiding defeat to delivering higher levels of play. "Obviously, 11 unbeaten is good. We kind of stopped the bad form, which is always pleasing. But we need to still lift our levels of performance, I think everyone knows that, and that's what we're working towards. "
Hugo Flo pic.twitter.com/rj8mqFaOy7Liverpool FC (@LFC) January 14, 2026
Liverpool vs Burnley: Parker, confidence and Burnley’s survival battle
Burnley’s 5-1 FA Cup success against Millwall gave Scott Parker and the squad a rare lift after a long spell without any win in any competition since October. Parker hopes that result can act as a turning point in confidence as Burnley try to close the eight-point gap to safety.
Parker felt the Millwall victory cleared a psychological barrier. "Obviously, we've been searching for a win for some time now, and you're coming into an FA Cup game where you're trying to get that off your back a little bitso that was key," said Parker. "Now, of course, there's levels, and we understand that.
"Over the course of the last 12/13 games, there's been certain parts where I feel we were worthy of more than we got. There have been other parts where that has not been the case. We'll take the positives; we'll take the learnings from it, and I'm hoping that this young group can have some confidence from this game because it was a positive one. I could see that in their faces; I could see that in their demeanour and the way they played. "
The touch The finish How Ashley Barnes completed his brace against Millwall pic.twitter.com/HXfmPsbCxnBurnley FC (@BurnleyOfficial) January 12, 2026
Liverpool vs Burnley: players to watch and key statistics
Florian Wirtz has become a crucial creative outlet for Liverpool this season. Among Premier League players attempting at least 50 take-ons, Wirtz has the best success rate at 54% with 27 successful dribbles from 50. Wirtz is also one of only five players to create at least 30 open-play chances in 2025-26, with 31.
The Germany international also made a telling contribution in the FA Cup win over Barnsley, scoring and assisting after coming off the bench. For Burnley, Florentino has been central to the team’s defensive work. Only Joao Palhinha, Neco Williams and James Garner have more combined tackles and interceptions in the league this season.
Florentino has produced 84 such actions, made up of 61 tackles and 23 interceptions. That figure places Florentino fourth in the division for these combined metrics, underlining how much Burnley rely on defensive intensity in midfield when facing stronger attacking teams such as Liverpool.
Liverpool’s attacking output has dropped compared with some previous seasons. They average 14.7 shots per Premier League game, their lowest figure since 2001-02, when they recorded 14.5. Their expected goals per match stands at 1.5, the club’s lowest league rate since 2015-16, when it measured 1.33.
Burnley’s league form remains concerning. The team are without a victory in 12 Premier League fixtures, drawing three and losing nine. Their last longer barren run in league competition came between December 2006 and March 2007 in the Championship, when they went 18 games without a win.
In the top-flight, Burnley last endured a longer winless stretch between August and October 1970, going 14 league matches without success. The 13th game of that sequence was a 2-0 defeat away to Liverpool. Historically, Burnley also average just 0.6 goals per Premier League game against Liverpool, scoring 11 times in 19 meetings.
The Anfield club’s record against promoted sides shows a recent stutter but stronger long-term control. Liverpool have drawn both home league fixtures with Leeds and Sunderland this season. They have not, however, failed to win three straight home games against promoted opponents since January 2002, and last went winless in all three such home fixtures in 1980-81.
| OPTA win probability | Percentage |
|---|---|
| Liverpool | 76.3% |
| Draw | 14.1% |
| Burnley | 9.6% |
All indicators point towards a Liverpool win, but both teams bring clear storylines into this match. Liverpool balance an 11-game unbeaten stretch with concerns about performance levels and chance creation, while Burnley rely on renewed belief from their FA Cup win and strong defensive work from Florentino as they chase vital league points.
