Everton recently celebrated a significant 1-0 victory over Manchester United at Old Trafford, marking their first win there since 2013. This triumph came despite Idrissa Gueye's unusual red card for hitting
teammate Michael Keane. Everton's recent form has seen them climb to 11th in the Premier League, ahead of Liverpool on goal difference, as they prepare to face Newcastle United.
David Moyes remains optimistic about Everton's future prospects. He expressed his belief that the team is just beginning its journey back to success. "I still think we've not even started yet to get everything back together," Moyes shared with Everton's media channels. He hopes for more nights like the one against Manchester United to fuel their ambitions.
Moyes is eager to see Everton return to European competitions. Reflecting on past successes, he said, "Years gone by, I can think of days when we've had wins and we were qualifying for Europe. " While cautious not to get ahead of himself after one victory, Moyes aims to bring European football back to Goodison Park soon.
Everton's chances of qualifying for the Champions League seem slim, despite being only three points away from the top four. However, Opta's supercomputer gives them a 21.8% chance of finishing in the top eight, which could secure a spot in Europe next season. The recent win over United showcased impressive performances from England hopefuls like James Garner and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall.
Jack Grealish has been a standout player for Everton this season. He leads the Premier League in fouls won with 36 and ranks third in chances created with 24. Notably, Grealish has provided more assists against Newcastle than any other team in the league. Meanwhile, Newcastle's Harvey Barnes has found his scoring touch again, netting four goals in his last three matches.
Newcastle approaches their match against Everton after defeating Manchester City 2-1 but losing by the same scoreline to Marseille in the Champions League. They aim for consecutive Premier League wins for the first time since March/April last season but have struggled away from home, going winless in nine league games.
Match Prediction and Statistics
The upcoming clash between Everton and Newcastle is predicted to end in a draw. Newcastle has lost their last three away games despite scoring first in two of them. Historically, only three teams have experienced similar streaks: Middlesbrough (2008), Leicester City (2022), and Brentford (2024). Newcastle seeks consecutive league victories while aiming to break their winless away run.
Everton has secured clean-sheet victories against Fulham and Manchester United recently but hasn't achieved three consecutive clean-sheet wins since April 2024. This match marks the first time they face Newcastle while being above them in the table since February 2022 when they lost 3-1 away.
Everton remains winless in their last six encounters with Newcastle when positioned higher (D2 L4). Conversely, Newcastle hasn't won any of their last four league meetings with Everton (D2 L2) after winning five of their previous six encounters (L1).
| Team | Win Probability |
|---|---|
| Everton | 36.8% |
| Draw | 26.3% |
| Newcastle United | 36.9% |
As both teams prepare for this crucial fixture, fans eagerly anticipate whether Everton can continue their upward trajectory or if Newcastle will break their away game woes and secure a much-needed victory at Goodison Park.
