Tottenham visit Burnley on 24 January with confidence lifted by a 2-0 Champions League victory over Borussia Dortmund, yet domestic concerns remain. Thomas Frank’s side sit 14th in the Premier League after losing to West Ham, while Burnley fight relegation but recently drew at Liverpool, giving this Turf Moor meeting major importance for both clubs.
Spurs have already secured a place in the Champions League knockout rounds after beating the Bundesliga side, helped by Daniel Svensson’s red card. Frank views that result as a standard to reach more often, not a one-off. Burnley approach this contest encouraged by improved form, having lost only two of their last six league fixtures.
Burnley’s recent points against Liverpool, Manchester United, Everton
and Bournemouth suggest better organisation, even though wins remain scarce. The Clarets had previously suffered seven straight Premier League defeats, highlighting how their current six-game stretch, with four draws, marks a clear shift. Scott Parker believes these displays matter, even if they have not yet produced enough victories.
Parker stressed how results against elite opponents may not define Burnley’s entire campaign but still carry weight. "Massive points. Our season probably won't be decided on games like today or Manchester United at home," Parker said. "But you want to pick up points against those teams, and we have done that. We need to continue that. "
Frank is not treating the Dortmund win as a personal verdict, instead stressing unity inside the club. Asked whether the midweek performance showed he deserved backing, Frank replied: "I think it's about the team and everything, but, of course, I understand the question. What I feel the whole time is. the staff is with us, I think the players are with us, the ownership, everyone wants the same thing, and we're on the same page. "
Frank praised Spurs’ European showing while warning that the level must carry into league play. "We do a lot of things in the right direction and it was a big performance and a big win. Of course, I'm very aware of that, but I'm also very aware that this is something we have done, and we need to keep that consistency and turn that around a little bit. As I say, some of the other games we easily could have won. Now we need to build on this. "
Despite Spurs’ low league position, Frank says personal pressure has not grown ahead of the Turf Moor trip. The coach instead points to strong backing from staff, players and ownership. The team’s away record strengthens that stance, with 67% of Tottenham’s Premier League points this season, 18 of 27, gained outside north London.
Another home win in the Champions League!pic.twitter.com/XJiZ864xWnTottenham Hotspur (@SpursOfficial) January 20, 2026
Burnley vs Tottenham key players to watch in attack
For Burnley, Marcus Edwards has emerged as a growing attacking influence. After registering no goals or assists in the first six league outings, Edwards has contributed to three goals in the last six, with one goal and two assists. The winger now seeks successive Premier League goals for the first time since a 2022 spell with Sporting CP.
Tottenham’s Wilson Odobert stands out after a creative Champions League display. Against Dortmund, Odobert became the first Spurs player to assist two goals in a Champions League game since Erik Lamela and Tanguy Ndombele both did so versus Red Star Belgrade in October 2022. At 21 years and 53 days, Odobert is also the youngest Spurs player to create multiple goals in one Champions League match.
Odobert’s challenge now lies in repeating that influence in domestic action. The winger has only one assist from 20 Premier League appearances in the 2025-26 campaign. Tottenham need that European sharpness translated into league productivity, especially against disciplined opponents such as Burnley, who recently restricted Liverpool despite heavy pressure.
Burnley vs Tottenham defensive resilience, historical record and prediction
Parker hailed Burnley’s attitude in the 1-1 draw at Anfield, where Liverpool produced 32 shots, their highest Premier League tally since taking 37 attempts against Brentford in January last season. "The discipline we showed, the commitment and the bravery and courage. We caused Liverpool problems. Overall we were superb," Parker said.
That performance fit a wider theme for Burnley this season. Parker added: "It's fair to say over the course of this season we have been competitive in the majority of games we have played. The points don't represent that, but it is a massive point for us. " The manager will expect similar structure and spirit against Tottenham.
Historically, Spurs enjoy this fixture. Tottenham score an average of 2.2 goals per game against Burnley in the Premier League, with 41 goals in 19 meetings, a rate only bettered against Hull City among opponents faced at least 10 times. Burnley, however, have lost six of the last seven league games against Spurs, including the most recent four since a 1-0 home win in February 2022.
Spurs also hold a strong record away to promoted clubs. They are unbeaten in their last 13 Premier League away matches against promoted sides, winning 11 and drawing two, since losing 3-1 at Leeds United in May 2021. Yet Tottenham have struggled recently against relegation-zone opposition, losing four of their last eight such league fixtures.
Across those eight matches against bottom-three teams, Spurs have three wins, one draw and four defeats, including the 2-1 reverse to West Ham in the previous league outing. They have not lost successive top-flight games, both against sides in the relegation places, since March 1997, when West Ham and Nottingham Forest both claimed victories.
Burnley’s broader league form remains troubling despite improved displays. The Clarets are winless in 13 Premier League matches, drawing four and losing nine. Their last longer top-flight run without victory came between August and October 1970, when they went 14 games. In league football overall, their longest comparable streak since then was an 18-game sequence in the Championship between December 2006 and March 2007.
OPTA’s model leans towards an away success at Turf Moor. The projected win probabilities give Burnley a 28.6% chance, the draw at 24.4%, and Tottenham at 46.9%. These figures reflect Spurs’ attacking record in this fixture and strong away form, set against Burnley’s extended winless run and current position near the bottom of the table.
| Outcome | OPTA win probability |
|---|---|
| Burnley | 28.6% |
| Draw | 24.4% |
| Tottenham | 46.9% |
Both sides therefore enter Burnley vs Tottenham with clear trends. Spurs arrive buoyed by European progress but searching for league consistency, while Burnley show greater resilience yet still lack wins. Statistical history, current form lines and the Opta model all tilt slightly towards Tottenham, though recent Burnley performances suggest a demanding Premier League contest at Turf Moor.
