Manchester City Women Lead A Dominant WSL Campaign, Says Jeglertz Is Surprised By Squad's Start

Manchester City enter Sunday’s Women’s Super League trip to Arsenal with a commanding advantage in the title race, sitting 11 points clear at the top and heavily favoured by predictive models, yet both camps stress focus on performance rather than mathematics ahead of one of the season’s key fixtures.

City’s surge has reshaped the Women’s Super League landscape in Andree Jeglertz’s first campaign, with last week’s 5-1 victory over Chelsea putting the team on course to halt Chelsea’s six-year run of championships, while Arsenal, currently fourth and 13 points behind, cling to hopes of narrowing the gap using a game in hand.

Probabilities underline the scale of Manchester City’s position in the Women’s Super League. The Opta supercomputer gives

City a 97.5% chance of securing the trophy, while Arsenal are champions in only 1.4% of simulated seasons, with Chelsea’s prospects at 0.8% and Manchester United’s at 0.3%, leaving rivals needing a major swing in results.

On the pitch, Manchester City lead every major attacking metric in this Women’s Super League campaign, topping the division for total shots, shots on target, goals scored, big chances created, expected goals and shot conversion rate, numbers that support the league table and reflect a sustained attacking approach rather than isolated performances.

The Citizens have taken 272 shots and hit the target 105 times, scoring 41 league goals with a conversion rate of 15.1%, while their expected goals figure stands at 39.4 xG and they have produced 70 big chances, averaging five big chances per match, a rate only bettered in Women’s Super League history by Chelsea’s 2017 Spring Series average of 5.8.

Arsenal know Sunday’s meeting provides a rare chance to apply pressure on Manchester City in the Women’s Super League; victory would allow Renee Slegers’ side to later cut the deficit to seven points when the rearranged game in hand against lowly Leicester City is eventually played.

Slegers is refusing to look far beyond the immediate task, saying: "We have the Leicester fixture that will be played later. What it is about for us at this moment in time is this game, and what we can do in this game, that is the most important thing. Then we'll see at the end what it means for the table. All we know is that in this game, we want to get the three points, and the league is really tight this year again. Of course, City have done really well with only one loss so far, so they've been amazing in what they've been achieving every single week, but yeah, we'll go for the win. "

Jeglertz acknowledges even Manchester City did not anticipate such control of the Women’s Super League at this stage, saying: "With the quality we have in each player, if they can work together as a group, the results can be fantastic. Of course, I didn't expect that we should be in this situation after six or seven months. But you go in, and in every game that I have played, or that we have played since I started coaching, we try to win and have a strong belief that we can. "

Andre Im not on the sideline telling them what to do, it has to be their decisions. They've come far in that, and feeling comfortable making those decisions. pic.twitter.com/Em0qZoWunwManchester City Women (@ManCityWomen) February 6, 2026

With Manchester City having lost only once in the league this season and producing elite attacking numbers, while Arsenal look to stay in touch through direct confrontation and a favourable rescheduled Leicester City fixture, Sunday’s clash shapes as a significant point in the title race, though both teams insist performance standards matter more than probability models at this stage.