Burnley Aim To Exploit Newcastle Away-Form Woes At Turf Moor

Burnley close 2025 with a crucial match against Newcastle United at Turf Moor on 30 December. Burnley sit 19th in the Premier League, six points from safety. Newcastle arrive with strong head-to-head form

but a poor away record. Opta data still favours the visitors, who are given a 54.6% chance of victory.

Both teams seek a reset after difficult runs. Burnley have gone nine league games without a win, while Newcastle have struggled away from St James’ Park. Historical results between the clubs lean heavily towards Newcastle, yet recent away form suggests an opportunity for Scott Parker’s side.

Burnley enter their final league fixture of 2025 after back-to-back draws with Bournemouth and Everton. Those results followed seven straight defeats, underlining the pressure on Parker. All three Burnley wins this season came against fellow promoted teams Sunderland and Leeds, plus bottom side Wolves, emphasising the challenge against stronger opponents.

Newcastle United’s away form contrasts sharply with their performances at home. Newcastle have lost five of their last six Premier League away games. Across their last 12 league trips they have only one victory, with four draws and seven defeats. Since April, among ever-present clubs, only Wolves have collected fewer away points.

Ending 2025 at Turf Moor pic.twitter.com/cnn7iM1NZEBurnley FC (@BurnleyOfficial) December 29, 2025

Scott Parker has highlighted the contrast between Newcastle’s home and away performances while insisting Burnley must focus inward. Parker said, "There's clearly a difference in Newcastle's home and away performances and results. We'll look to take advantage of the reasons that may contribute to that, but fundamentally, we're focused on ourselves and getting things right so we can put on a positive performance again. "

Parker also stressed the quality within the visiting squad and the need for intensity at Turf Moor. Parker said, "What I do know is, they've got a lot of quality in their squad, so we'll need to produce another strong performance in front of our own supporters at Turf Moor. " That message reflects Burnley’s reliance on home backing as they chase safety.

Eddie Howe returns to a familiar ground, having coached Burnley in the Championship between January 2011 and October 2012. Howe has won his last two away league matches against his former club. A third straight success would make Howe the first ex-Burnley manager to win three consecutive away league games against the Clarets.

Howe expects a demanding contest despite Newcastle’s good recent record against Burnley. Howe said, "It is a tough place to go, as I would know having managed there. But I think we just need to look at it independently and give everything we can to get a positive result. We need to start feeling better about ourselves on the road. We need to start getting good feelings on our travels. For our supporters, who give so much and travel in such big numbers, we need to give them the feeling they want, as well. "

Burnley vs Newcastle United: key players and historical record

Burnley’s defensive leadership is likely to rest on Kyle Walker. Walker made a landmark 427th Premier League appearance in the goalless draw with Everton. That moved Walker ahead of Gareth Southgate as the English defender with the fifth-most games in the competition. Walker’s experience appears vital as Burnley try to escape the relegation zone.

On the Newcastle side, Jacob Murphy stands out through underlying creative numbers. Murphy has only one Premier League assist this season but leads Newcastle with 2.24 expected assists. Across recent games against Chelsea and Manchester United, Murphy produced four key passes. Murphy also created one big chance in each of those fixtures, underlining his supply role.

The recent head-to-head record strongly favours Newcastle United. Burnley have scored exactly once in all seven Premier League home meetings with Newcastle. However, Burnley have lost the last three such games since a 1-0 victory in December 2019. Overall, Newcastle have won seven consecutive Premier League matches against Burnley.

That seven-game streak matches Newcastle’s joint-longest winning run versus any top-flight opponent. Newcastle also recorded seven straight top-flight wins against Bury between 1903 and 1906. The current sequence reflects Newcastle’s dominance in this fixture, even as recent away form across the league has dipped.

Newcastle’s final league match of 2024 brought a 2-0 victory at Manchester United. Yet Newcastle have not won their last league game in consecutive calendar years since a sequence from 1972 to 1974. The trip to Burnley therefore offers both a chance to halt poor away form and to change that historical pattern.

OPTA’s model points towards an away success, and the official match prediction lists a NEWCASTLE UNITED WIN. However, Burnley’s need for points, combined with Newcastle’s travel issues, keeps the contest open. The underlying numbers frame the likelihoods shown below.

Burnley approach this meeting under pressure but with clear motivation in front of home supporters. Newcastle chase improved away performances while defending a long winning run in this fixture and holding the statistical edge. The outcome at Turf Moor will shape both clubs’ mood as the Premier League calendar moves into 2026.