Paris Saint-Germain face Marseille at the Parc des Princes on Sunday in a key Le Classique that could shape the Ligue 1 2025-26 title race, with Lens returning to the summit after a 3-1 victory against Rennes and sitting one point ahead of PSG, while Marseille remain third, six points behind Luis Enrique’s side.
Both teams come into the match after confidence-boosting wins in different competitions, as Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille responded to a 2-2 Ligue 1 draw against Paris FC with a 3-0 success over Rennes in the Coupe de France, while PSG overturned a deficit to defeat Strasbourg 2-1 in their previous league outing, underlining the pressure and momentum surrounding this Classique.
The showdown sets up a meeting between Ligue 1’s two most possession-focused
sides, with Paris Saint-Germain averaging 69% of the ball and Marseille recording 59% under Roberto De Zerbi, while PSG complete around 736 passes per league game to Marseille’s 582 and also lead line-breaking passes 82 to 62, numbers that support Luis Enrique’s expectation of another attack-minded spectacle in Paris, provided emotions remain under control.
"We know how important this match is, and we want to give our fans a great game of football and a win," said the Spanish coach. "These are unique matches; they're always special. And you can feel the excitement that a Classique brings. Every time we play this type of match, the atmosphere is different. It was the same in Marseille. It's an incredible atmosphere, a football atmosphere. What I would like is to see no violence of any kind. Enjoy the match, enjoy how Paris Saint-Germain plays. That's what I would like. The atmosphere is important to us, the atmosphere around the team. They're an attacking team, and I think they're similar to us in their approach to the game. So we know it'll be a tough game, but we're motivated to win this Classique. We know the atmosphere will be great!"
Le Classique at the Parc!#PSGOM I @visitrwanda_now pic.twitter.com/TVrYQkuMyRParis Saint-Germain (@PSG_English) February 6, 2026
Desire Doue is set for a personal landmark with Paris Saint-Germain, as the midfielder could make a 100th Ligue 1 appearance, having previously featured 57 times for Rennes and 42 so far for PSG, scoring 16 goals and providing 13 assists, and entering this Classique unbeaten in 11 league matches this season, a run matched only by PSG colleagues Bradley Barcola, with 17 games, and Lucas Beraldo, with 10.
Marseille’s main attacking reference remains Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who has scored in each of Marseille’s last two fixtures in all competitions and heads to the Parc des Princes in strong form, yet historical data shows that among opponents against which Aubameyang has played at least 500 European minutes, only Marseille have seen fewer goals from the forward, with none, while he has managed just one strike in 812 competitive minutes versus PSG, scored for St. Etienne in Ligue 1 during November 2012.
Le Classique Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille statistics and prediction
Historical trends favour Paris Saint-Germain at home in Le Classique, since PSG have taken 16 wins from the last 18 hosting dates against Marseille in all competitions, drawing once and losing once, a tally equal to their first 37 home meetings that produced 16 victories, 11 draws and 10 defeats, and PSG have failed to score in only two of their previous 40 Ligue 1 matches, both 0-1 reverses against Monaco in November and Marseille in September.
Even so, Marseille have recently made life more difficult for Paris Saint-Germain, as PSG have not won any of the past two encounters between the sides, losing 0-1 in Ligue 1 before a 2-2 draw in the Trophee des Champions that PSG eventually claimed on penalties, the first time since March to November 2011 that PSG went at least two games without beating Marseille in the league, while De Zerbi’s team arrive with mixed away form after winning only one of their last three Ligue 1 trips, drawing one and losing one, following a sequence of four victories from five away matches, and have also surrendered points four times this league season after conceding in second-half stoppage time, more than any other side.
The statistical model points towards another home success for Paris Saint-Germain in Le Classique, with Opta win probability figures giving PSG 63%, the draw 19.1% and Marseille 17.9%, highlighting the scale of the challenge facing the visitors despite their attacking style and recent improvements.
| Outcome | Opta win probability |
|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain win | 63% |
| Draw | 19.1% |
| Marseille win | 17.9% |
The meeting between Paris Saint-Germain and Marseille therefore brings together two front-foot teams chasing possession and control, with PSG pursuing Lens at the top and Marseille looking to close a six-point gap, individual storylines such as Desire Doue’s possible milestone and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s search for goals against a historically difficult opponent adding extra interest around a Classique where performance, result and atmosphere all carry clear weight.
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