World Cup Predictions: Spain Favoured To Triumph As Messi And Ronaldo Pursue Final Glory

The 2026 World Cup draw is set for December 5 in Washington D.C., marking the start of an exciting journey for fans. This edition will be the largest ever, featuring 48 teams and 104 matches across venues in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Six spots remain open, with four to be filled through UEFA play-offs and two via inter-confederation playoffs.

Argentina's Lionel Messi aims to lead his team to consecutive victories, a feat last achieved by Brazil in 1962. However, competition is fierce with France, Spain, England, and Brazil all vying for glory under experienced coaches. Portugal and Norway are also strong contenders, with Cristiano Ronaldo and Erling Haaland leading their respective teams.

Spain emerges as a top contender with a 17%

chance of winning according to predictions. Under Luis de la Fuente, they have remained unbeaten in 31 competitive games. Their success at Euro 2024 highlights their potential, especially with young talent like Lamine Yamal making waves.

France follows closely with a 14.1% probability of victory. This tournament marks the end of Didier Deschamps' long tenure as head coach. Kylian Mbappe leads the team as captain, aiming to surpass Olivier Giroud's goal record while chasing Miroslav Klose's World Cup scoring milestone.

England stands as the third favourite with an 11.8% chance of winning. Under Thomas Tuchel's guidance, they aim to break a six-decade-long drought at major tournaments. The team's recent performances in qualifiers showcase their potential, particularly with Harry Kane leading the attack.

Argentina holds an 8.7% chance of success. Messi's stellar performance in previous tournaments has solidified his legacy alongside Diego Maradona. With a strong squad including Enzo Fernandez and Julian Alvarez, Argentina remains a formidable force.

Germany and Portugal's Prospects

Germany ranks fifth with a 7.1% chance of winning their fifth World Cup title. Despite recent struggles in major tournaments, they boast talented players like Serge Gnabry and Leroy Sane who could make a significant impact.

Portugal has a 6.6% probability of triumphing on the world stage. Cristiano Ronaldo continues to be a key figure despite his age, supported by a talented squad featuring Ruben Dias and Bruno Fernandes.

Brazil's Challenges

Brazil faces challenges under Carlo Ancelotti's leadership but remains hopeful with a 5.6% chance of victory. The team must overcome recent setbacks in qualifiers to reclaim their status as World Cup champions.

More history is coming. Watch the Final Draw on Friday! pic.twitter.com/9wZS50Dcba

- FIFA World Cup (@FIFAWorldCup) November 30, 2025

Dark Horses and Host Nations

The Netherlands are considered dark horses with a 5.2% chance of success after reaching Euro 2024 semi-finals. Norway also poses a threat after dominating their qualifying group led by Erling Haaland's impressive goal-scoring record.

The United States hosts several matches but has only a 0.9% chance of winning under Mauricio Pochettino's management. Mexico holds slightly better odds at 1.3%, while Canada lags behind at just 0.4%. These host nations hope for favourable draws to boost their chances.

When Landon Donovan sent the USA to the knockout round in 2010. #FIFAWorldCup pic.twitter.com/HW8jyhpGww

- FIFA World Cup (@FIFAWorldCup) March 4, 2025

Play-off Hopefuls

The final six spots will be determined through play-offs in March next year. Italy stands out among these hopefuls as they seek to end their World Cup absence since their last knockout match in 2006.

Our play-off path is set #Azzurri #VivoAzzurro pic.twitter.com/l4WjhnM7L9

- Italy (@Azzurri_En) November 20, 2025

This year's tournament promises thrilling matches and unexpected outcomes as teams vie for football's most prestigious prize on the global stage.