Wolves and Newcastle United meet in the Premier League with both sides arriving from contrasting cup weeks, as Jorgen Strand Larsen’s FA Cup hat-trick lifts Wolves’ belief while Eddie Howe’s team seek a response after defeat to Manchester City but carry a strong recent league record in this fixture and across their latest domestic run.
Wolves’ 6-1 victory over Shrewsbury Town in the FA Cup third round extended the club’s unbeaten streak in all competitions to four matches, following 1-1 league draws with Manchester United and Everton and a 3-0 success over West Ham that delivered their first Premier League win of the season, yet Wolves still sit 14 points from safety.
Strand Larsen delivered three of the six goals against Shrewsbury, a timely
boost for a striker with just one Premier League goal this season, and the forward underlined how the performance helps morale as Wolves aim for what would still be a very unlikely survival push after a difficult campaign to this point.
"Im obviously really pleased. Scoring goals is my job and I havent really been able to do it that much this season, so its good to see that you can still do it," said Strand Larsen after their FA Cup win. "It was a good confidence boost for us. Im pleased that we continue our non-losing streak and we are on a good way to get back to where we were last season. We always have to keep on going and I think the lads did really well, and Im pleased with the team. "
Strand Larsen also reflected on the wider situation, stressing that "Its been a struggle of a season, but were trying to be positive now in 2026 and take as many points and win as many games as we can," with that mindset central as Wolves prepare to host Newcastle at Molineux in the league.
Newcastle (h) pic.twitter.com/DKe5bCDRxBWolves (@Wolves) January 15, 2026
Newcastle advance in the FA Cup after defeating Bournemouth on penalties in their third-round tie, yet that extended contest was followed by a 2-0 loss at Manchester City in the first leg of the EFL Cup semi-final, leaving Howe’s players needing a strong response while also managing a demanding run of fixtures.
Howe felt the schedule had a clear impact against City, saying: "Yeah, I think the extra time in the FA Cup was far from ideal for us, it was the worst preparation for the next game. And I think there was an element of fatigue in our performance," said Howe. "But thats where I have to compliment the lads because they kept going against probably the worst opponents to expose that fatigue. I cant fault the players, I cant fault the effort, and were still in the tie: I think anythings possible still. "
A trip to Molineux comes next pic.twitter.com/moIQFvGZOONewcastle United (@NUFC) January 15, 2026
Wolves vs Newcastle United: key players to watch
For Wolves, 18-year-old Mateus Mane has become a significant attacking threat, scoring in each of the club’s last two Premier League fixtures, and only four players aged 18 or younger have ever scored in three straight matches in the competition: Michael Owen twice in 1997 and 1998, Danny Cadamarteri in 1997, Francis Jeffers in 1999, and Mason Greenwood in 2020.
Newcastle midfielder Bruno Guimaraes stands out on the other side, having delivered more defensive line-breaking passes than any other Premier League player this season with 34, while also contributing directly to goals in three straight matches, scoring three times and registering one assist during that productive individual spell.
Wolves vs Newcastle United: head-to-head record and prediction
Newcastle are tipped to take three points, having won six of the last eight Premier League meetings with Wolves, drawing the other two, and Howe’s side have taken victory in each of the most recent four league clashes between the teams, matching the six wins Newcastle managed across the previous 28 top-flight encounters.
Howe’s team arrive on a three-match Premier League winning streak, their best such sequence since five straight victories during March and April last season, and Newcastle are also targeting a first run of three league wins to start a calendar year since 1996, which underscores their current domestic momentum.
Defensive patterns this season show that 70% of Newcastle’s Premier League goals conceded, 19 of 27, have come after half-time, which is the highest share in the division, but that trend may be less of a concern here because Wolves have scored only five second-half league goals, the fewest overall and also the lowest percentage at 33%.
All 10 Premier League matches between Wolves and Newcastle at Molineux have seen both teams score, making it the most-played exact fixture in the competition without a clean sheet for either side, while Wolves come into this meeting unbeaten across three league games, with one win and two draws delivering five points after collecting just three from their previous 22.
| Outcome | Opta win probability |
|---|---|
| Wolves | 21.1% |
| Draw | 21.6% |
| Newcastle United | 57.3% |
The data and recent results suggest Newcastle are favourites, but Wolves enter the contest with improved form, renewed confidence from their FA Cup performance and important contributions from Strand Larsen and Mane, while Howe’s side balance their strong league momentum with the physical demands of their schedule and Guimaraes’ creative influence.
