U.S. consumer prices rose 0.4% from the month before in August, the Labor Department estimated Sept. 11, in line with forecasters' expectations.
A spike in gas prices drove the increase, rising 3.9% over the month as the Iran war further limited the global oil supply. Over the year, prices for all items rose 3.4%, matching July's pace. That was still enough to surpass workers' paychecks, which rose on average 3.1% over the same period.
After reaching a peak of 9.1% in 2022, year-over-year inflation had made its way back to 2.4% at the start of 2026. It jumped to 3.4% in March driven by rising oil and gas prices following the start of the war. After hitting 4.2% in May, it slowed to 3.5% in June and to 3.4% in July.
It, along with the Federal Reserve’s
preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, remain above the central bank's 2% annual target.
The Fed typically raises its benchmark for interest rates across the country to help tame inflation and lowers it to stimulate the job market. After Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said Aug. 28 policymakers’ focus should be on rising prices and U.S. employers added a surprising 162,000 jobs last month, markets are betting on a rate hike after the Fed’s next meeting on Sept. 16. However, one is not guaranteed.
What is the core US inflation rate?
“Core” inflation is the department’s way to measure price changes while excluding more volatile food and energy costs. It’s a metric that’s closely watched for evidence of whether underlying price pressures are easing amid supply shocks that can drive the all-items inflation rate higher.
It rose 0.3% from July to August and was up to 2.4% over the year.
(This is a developing story that will be updated to add new information.)
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This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Prices rose in August. Is it time to raise interest rates?
