Maine's Senate race is one to watch, as Sen. Susan Collins is the only Republican up for reelection in a state that President Donald Trump lost in 2024.
Collins, running for a sixth term, faces former state Senate president and logger Troy Jackson
. As a race considered a "toss-up" by the Cook Political Report, it could be one of a handful that decide which party controls the Senate after the midterms.Trump's approval rating in the state is underwater, and much of Jackson's campaign has tried to pin Collins to Trump's record. But despite that, Collins has stayed in play, according to polls, and she sticks to campaigning on her bipartisan record and bringing investments back to Maine. Plus, Mainers may remember 2020, when polls found the well-funded
Democrat Sara Gideon leading Collins by a wider margin, and Collins ended up handily defeating Gideon anyway.
As of Election Day eve (Nov. 2), Jackson is leading by 3.3 percentage points on average, according to aggregator RealClearPolitics. Here is a closer look at the latest polls:
See the latest Maine Senate race polls
The New York Times/Siena University: Jackson +6
- Jackson 51%, Collins 45%.
- Poll taken Oct. 27-Nov. 1.
- 714 likely voters (margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points).
- This poll marks a big swing for Jackson, who was trailing Collins by three points in the NYT/Siena poll in September.
University of New Hampshire: Jackson +9
- Jackson 54%, Collins 45%.
- Poll taken Oct. 27-31.
- 1,722 likely voters (margin of error of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points).
- Despite Jackson's lead in this poll, 56% of Mainers think Collins will win the election, while 26% think Jackson will win, according to the poll.
CNN/SSRS: Jackson +4
- Jackson 49%, Collins 45%.
- Poll taken Oct. 20-26.
- 783 likely voters (margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points).
Marist University: Jackson +2
- Jackson 49%, Collins 47%.
- Poll taken Oct. 22-25.
- 1,449 likely voters (margin of error of plus or minus 6.6 percentage points).
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research: Even
- Jackson 49%, Collins 49%.
- Poll taken Oct. 16-20.
- 1,514 likely voters (margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points).
Kinsey Crowley is the Trump Connect reporter for the USA TODAY Network. She is reporting from Maine for the 2026 midterm elections. Reach her at KCrowley@usatodayco.com. Follow her on Instagram and TikTok.
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Latest Maine Senate polls on Collins vs. Jackson ahead of midterms
