What's Happening?
Russia is reportedly preparing to test its new nuclear-armed, nuclear-powered cruise missile, the SSC-X-9 Skyfall, as President Vladimir Putin is set to meet with President Trump. The Middlebury Institute of International Studies and CNA research organizations have observed increased activity at Russia's Pankovo test site, indicating preparations for the missile test. Satellite images show a buildup of supplies, equipment, and personnel at the site, with several ships associated with previous tests also present. The missile, known as the 9M730 Burevestnik, is touted by Putin as capable of evading missile defense systems, though its test record has been poor. The timing of the test could overshadow the upcoming summit between the two leaders.
Why It's Important?
The potential missile test underscores ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Russia, particularly in the realm of nuclear arms development. The SSC-X-9 Skyfall's capabilities, if proven, could challenge existing missile defense systems and alter the strategic balance. This development comes as the New START treaty, the last remaining arms control agreement between the U.S. and Russia, is set to expire. The missile test could influence the agenda of the Trump-Putin talks, potentially impacting future arms control negotiations. The situation highlights the complexities of U.S.-Russia relations and the challenges in managing nuclear proliferation.
What's Next?
It remains uncertain whether Russia will proceed with the missile test as planned, especially given the international attention it has garnered. The outcome of the Trump-Putin meeting could affect the decision to conduct the test. Additionally, the expiration of the New START treaty looms, necessitating discussions on its renewal or replacement. The international community will be closely monitoring these developments, as they have significant implications for global security and arms control efforts.
