The Baylor Bears and Arizona State Sun Devils play on Saturday, Oct. 3, 2026, at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, Arizona, in a game on the college football Week 5 schedule.
Which team will win the college football Week 5 game?
Check out these college football Week 5 picks and college football Week 5 predictions for the game, which can be seen at 7:30 p.m. MST on ESPN (stream with FUBO).
Arizona State is a 4-point favorite over Baylor in college football Week 5 odds for the game, according to BetMGM Sportsbook.
The Sun Devils are -190 on the moneyline, while the Bears are +155. The over/under (point total) for the game is set at 49.5 points.
Watch Baylor vs Arizona State on FUBO (free trial)
The Arizona Republic: Arizona State 31, Baylor 28
Jeremy Cluff writes: "Arizona State had a week off to
prepare for this game after holding on to beat Kansas in London. The winner moves to 2-0 in conference play. Cutter Boley and the Sun Devils will edge the Bears in a thriller."
Bookies.com: Bet Baylor with the points vs Arizona State
Bill Speros writes: "Mountain America Stadium gets a post-prime-time spot on the Worldwide Leader. The Sun Devils come off the bye after taking their Big 12 opener in London over Kansas, thanks in part to a 100-yard kickoff return. Our model has this line flipped, with Baylor as 2.7-point winners. DJ Lagway returned in Baylor's 23-13 win over Colorado. The Bears face a real test in Tempe. And they pass."
Dimers.com: Arizona State 27, Baylor 23
It writes: "After extensive simulations, our model gives Baylor a win probability of 38%, while Arizona State has a win probability of 62%."
ESPN: Baylor has a 52.4% chance to defeat Arizona State
The site gives the Sun Devils a 47.6% shot at winning the college football Week 5 game.
Sports Betting Dime: Baylor 25.4, Arizona State 23.1
The site's formula predicts that the Bears will beat the Sun Devils in the Week 5 college football game.
Picks and Parlays: Pick Arizona State to beat Baylor
Kim Smith writes: "The Sun Devils have home-field advantage and a physical style that should translate well against Baylor. Baylor can keep this competitive, but Arizona State has the stronger setup for controlling the game over four quarters."
Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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This article originally appeared on Arizona Republic: Arizona State vs Baylor picks, predictions for college football Week 5
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