Which NFL teams have the best chances of winning their games on the NFL Week 4 schedule?
ESPN Analytics has revealed its Matchup Predictor numbers for the 16 games in the league this week, and they offer some interesting win probabilities.
Take a look at the site's picks for this week's NFL games, beginning with Thursday Night Football game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns on Oct. 1, and concluding with the Monday Night Football game between the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints on Oct. 5.
Some of the site's predictions differ from NFL Week 4 odds and other NFL Week 4 picks for NFL Week 4 games.
How correct will the analytics be this week? Click on each game for more NFL Week 4 predictions for that NFL matchup. All times
MST. The site allows for the possibility of ties, so the numbers add up to just less than 100%.
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Thursday Night Football prediction, Oct. 1
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns, 5:15 p.m., Amazon Prime (stream with Prime Video)
The Steelers have a 55.4% chance to beat the Browns.
The site gives the Browns a 44.3% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
NFL Week 4 picks: Steelers at Browns | Colts vs Commanders | Titans at Ravens | Patriots at Bills | Jets at Bears | Jaguars at Bengals | Cowboys at Texans | Cardinals at Giants | Rams at Eagles | Packers at Buccaneers | Dolphins at Vikings | Chiefs at Raiders | Chargers at Seahawks | Broncos at 49ers | Lions at Panthers | Falcons at Saints | The Republic's score predictions
NFL international game prediction, Oct. 4
Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders (London, England), 6:30 a.m., NFL Network (stream with FUBO)
The Colts have a 53.9% chance to beat the Commanders.
The site gives the Commanders a 45.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Sunday early NFL game predictions, Oct. 4
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The Ravens have an 83.3% chance to beat the Titans.
The site gives the Titans a 16.6% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The Bills have a 71% chance to beat the Patriots.
The site gives the Patriots a 28.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
New York Jets at Chicago Bears, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
The Bears have a 66.2% chance to beat the Jets.
The site gives the Jets a 33.5% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The Jaguars have a 55% chance to beat the Bengals.
The site gives the Bengals a 44.6% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
The Cowboys have a 55% chance to beat the Texans.
The site gives the Texans a 44.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The Cardinals have a 55.1% chance to beat the Giants.
The site gives the Giants a 44.6% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
The Rams have a 56.6% chance to beat the Eagles.
The site gives the Eagles a 43.1% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 10 a.m.., FOX (stream with FUBO)
The Buccaneers have a 53.9% chance to beat the Packers.
The site gives the Packers a 45.7% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Sunday late NFL game predictions, Oct. 4
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings, 1:05 p.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
The Vikings have an 82.4% chance to beat the Dolphins.
The site gives the Dolphins a 17.5% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders, 1:25 p.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The Chiefs have a 70.2% chance to beat the Raiders.
The site gives the Raiders a 29.6% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks, 1:25 p.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The Seahawks have a 73.8% chance to beat the Chargers.
The site gives the Chargers a 26% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers, 1:25 p.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The 49ers have a 77.6% chance to beat the Broncos.
The site gives the Broncos a 22.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Sunday Night Football prediction, Oct. 4
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers, 5:20 p.m., NBC (stream with Peacock)
The Lions have a 61.9% chance to beat the Panthers.
The site gives the Panthers a 37.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Monday Night Football prediction, Oct. 5
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints, 5:15 p.m., ESPN (stream with FUBO)
The Saints have a 62.6% chance to beat the Falcons.
The site gives the Falcons a 37.1% shot at winning the NFL Week 4 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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This article originally appeared on Arizona Republic: NFL Week 4 predictions, picks, win probabilities for games this week
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