Which NFL teams have the best chances of winning their games on the NFL Week 5 schedule?
ESPN Analytics has revealed its Matchup Predictor numbers for the 15 games in the league this week, and they offer
some interesting win probabilities.
Take a look at the site's picks for this week's NFL games, beginning with the Thursday Night Football game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Dallas Cowboys on Oct. 8, and concluding with the Monday Night Football game between the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams on Oct. 12.
Some of the site's predictions differ from NFL Week 5 odds and other NFL Week 5 picks for NFL Week 5 games.
How correct will the analytics be this week? Click on each game for more NFL Week 5 predictions for that NFL matchup. All times MST. The site allows for the possibility of ties, so the numbers add up to just less than 100%.
NFL Week 5 predictions: Cowboys vs Buccaneers | Jaguars vs Eagles | Dolphins vs Bengals | Patriots vs Raiders | Saints vs Vikings | Jets vs Browns | Steelers vs Colts | Titans vs Texans | Commanders vs Giants | Packers vs Bears | Chargers vs Broncos | Cardinals vs Lions | Seahawks vs 49ers | Falcons vs Ravens | Rams vs Bills | Win probabilities
Watch NFL games on FUBO (free trial)
Thursday Night Football prediction, Oct. 8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys, 5:15 p.m., Amazon Prime (stream with Prime Video)
The Cowboys have an 86.5% chance to beat the Buccaneers.
The site gives the Buccaneers a 13.4% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
NFL international game prediction, Oct. 11
Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars (London, England), 6:30 a.m., NFL Network (stream with FUBO)
The Jaguars have a 73.4% chance to beat the Eagles.
The site gives the Eagles a 26.4% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
NFL Week 5 picks: Buccaneers vs Cowboys | Eagles vs Jaguars | Bengals vs Dolphins | Raiders vs Patriots | Vikings vs Saints | Browns vs Jets | Colts vs Steelers | Texans vs Titans | Giants vs Commanders | Bears vs Packers | Broncos vs Chargers | Lions vs Cardinals | 49ers vs Seahawks | Ravens vs Falcons | Bills vs Rams | The Republic's predictions
Sunday early NFL game predictions, Oct. 11
Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
The Bengals have an 81% chance to beat the Dolphins.
The site gives the Dolphins an 18.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The Patriots have a 63.4% chance to beat the Raiders.
The site gives the Raiders a 36.3% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
The Vikings have a 53.4% chance to beat the Saints.
The site gives the Saints a 46.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Cleveland Browns at New York Jets, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The Jets have a 55.8% chance to beat the Browns.
The site gives the Browns a 43.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The Colts have a 50.5% chance to beat the Steelers.
The site gives the Steelers a 49.1% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans, 10 a.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The Texans have a 66.2% chance to beat the Titans.
The site gives the Titans a 33.5% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
New York Giants at Washington Commanders, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
The Commanders have a 62.5% chance to beat the Giants.
The site gives the Giants a 37.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers, 10 a.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
The Bears have a 57.8% chance to beat the Packers.
The site gives the Packers a 41.9% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Sunday late NFL game predictions, Oct. 11
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers, 1:05 p.m., CBS (stream with FUBO)
The Chargers have a 50.4% chance to beat the Broncos.
The site gives the Broncos a 49.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals, 1:25 p.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
The Lions have a 68.9% chance to beat the Cardinals.
The site gives the Cardinals a 30.8% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks, 1:25 p.m., FOX (stream with FUBO)
The 49ers have a 55.4% chance to beat the Seahawks.
The site gives the Seahawks a 44.2% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Sunday Night Football prediction, Oct. 11
Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons, 5:20 p.m., NBC (stream with Peacock)
The Ravens have a 58.2% chance to beat the Falcons.
The site gives the Falcons a 41.4% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Monday Night Football prediction, Oct. 12
Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams, 5:15 p.m., ESPN, ABC (stream with FUBO)
The Rams have a 59.3% chance to beat the Bills.
The site gives the Bills a 40.3% shot at winning the NFL Week 5 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
Support local journalism: Subscribe to azcentral.com today. Sign up for azcentral Preps Now. And be sure to subscribe to our daily sports newsletters so you don't miss a thing.
This article originally appeared on Arizona Republic: NFL Week 5 predictions, picks, win probabilities for games this week
Advertiser disclosure: USA TODAY may earn a commission when you sign up through links on this page. Commissions never influence our editorial coverage or rankings. Offers and odds were accurate at publication and are subject to change; terms apply — see the operator’s site. This is general information, not betting, legal or financial advice. To the fullest extent permitted by law, USA TODAY is not liable for losses arising from your use of it.
Must be 21+ (18+ where permitted). Sports betting and casino gaming are not legal everywhere; complying with the laws where you are located is your responsibility. Gamble only with funds you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Help is available 24/7 — call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-MY-RESET. State helplines and responsible gaming resources.
