The first month of fall has passed, and as temperatures are finally catching up to the season, The Old Farmer's Almanac has released what it expects Thanksgiving to look like in Tennessee.
Each year, millions of Americans gather on the fourth Thursday in November to celebrate Thanksgiving with friends and family, but the weather can be an unpredictable factor. This year, most of the state will experience cooler temperatures without precipitation, but snowfall could still be on the radar soon.
According to The Farmers' Almanac snowfall map, West and Middle Tennessee could see their first snowfall between late November and December, while East Tennessee could see snowflakes as early as November, though the exact timing varies.
Here's what The Old
Farmer's Almanac is predicting for Tennessee weather on Thanksgiving.
When is Thanksgiving?
This year, Thanksgiving falls on Nov. 26, making it one of the latest dates on which the holiday can fall.
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What is The Old Farmer's Almanac Thanksgiving 2026 weather forecast?
Thanksgiving week in Tennessee will generally be calm, but not everyone will get to see the sun for the holiday.
Across most of Tennessee, thunderstorms and warm weather will occur from Nov. 18 to Nov. 24, leading up to the holiday. From Nov. 25 to 30, the forecast calls for sunny skies and cool temperatures that may require an extra layer.
In the eastern corridor along the Appalachian Mountains, parts of the state will see rain showers from Nov. 16 to 25, along with cold temperatures. From Nov. 26 to 30, the forecast calls for sunshine, with temperatures going from warm to cooler.
What is the weather usually like on Nov. 26 in Tennessee?
On Nov. 26, Knoxville typically sees a high of 56 degrees, followed by a low of 36 degrees. The highest maximum temperature for the day was 77 degrees in 1946. The lowest maximum temperature on record for Nov. 26 was 29 degrees in 1950.
Memphis typically sees a high of 59 degrees and a low of 40 degrees on Nov. 26. The warmest maximum temperature for Nov. 26 was 82 degrees in 1965, and the lowest maximum temperature was 35 degrees.
Nashville's temperatures normally reach a high of 58 degrees and a low of 26 degrees on Nov. 26. The warmest maximum temperature was 76 degrees in 1927. The lowest maximum temperature on record was 29 degrees in 1977.
How accurate is the Old Farmer's Almanac?
The Old Farmer's Almanac says it correctly predicts the direction of seasonal temperature and precipitation departures about 80% of the time on average. That doesn't mean that every individual snowfall, storm or daily temperature forecast is correct.
The Almanac says its 2025-26 winter forecast finished with an overall accuracy rate of 88.9%, including 83.3% for temperature departure and 94.4% for precipitation departure. Those figures are the Almanac's own assessment of its forecasts.
Jordan Green covers trending news for The Commercial Appeal and Tennessee. She can be reached at jordan.green@commercialappeal.com.
This article originally appeared on Nashville Tennessean: Will it snow on Thanksgiving in Tennessee? Old Farmer's Almanac makes prediction
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