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India remains diplomatically well-positioned despite the latest tensions in West Asia, with no immediate strategic concern arising from recent developments, including Pakistan’s role in mediation, said Arun Kumar Singh, Former Ambassador of India to the United States.
“I don't think that poses any kind of security or any other concern for India. I think as far as India is concerned, it has a good relationship with the countries in the Arab world. It has a good working relationship with the US, a strong relationship with Iran, and with Israel,” Singh said, underscoring India’s balanced diplomatic outreach across key stakeholders.
He added that even Iran has shown sensitivity to India’s interests, noting, “they have permitted Indian flagships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, showing that they also attach value to the India relationship.”
Watch the full conversation here
However, Singh cautioned that the broader geopolitical situation remains far from resolved, with the current ceasefire likely to be a temporary pause rather than a durable solution.
“I don't think the 10 Point Plan will likely lead to any kind of enduring results… just a framework to start some kind of discussion,” he said, pointing to deep structural disagreements between Iran, the US, and Israel.
Each side, he explained, continues to pursue objectives that are difficult to reconcile. “I think we are in a situation where all the antagonists are unlikely to achieve their main objectives,” Singh noted, suggesting that any eventual outcome will require compromise.
Despite this, there is a strong incentive across all parties to sustain the ceasefire, at least in the near term.
Also Watch | Oil to drive rupee after April 10 as RBI impact fades: Kotak Securities
In the US, Singh said Donald Trump would feel “compulsion to bring the war to an end,” driven by domestic political pressures and constraints such as rising energy prices and limited interceptor missile stocks.
Iran, too, faces significant internal pressures. “Given the extent of damage that has been done to the infrastructure and the economy, I think there would also be compulsion on the Iranians to try and prolong the ceasefire,” he said.
As for Israel, Singh noted that it has “certainly degraded the capacity of the Iranian state to hit back,” which may reduce its immediate urgency to escalate further.
Still, critical faultlines remain unresolved, particularly around strategic control points and nuclear capabilities.
“The real challenge would be… what is going to be the regime to run Strait of Hormuz,” Singh said, highlighting concerns over Iran’s insistence that movement through the strait be coordinated with its military.
Also Read | US-Iran war duration key, not oil levels; IT, pharma attract flows: Mihir Vora
He also pointed to disagreements over nuclear policy, especially “the rights to enrichment for uranium that Iran has been insisting on,” which remain difficult for the US and Israel to accept.
Given these complexities, Singh warned that while the current phase may bring temporary stability, the risk of future flare-ups remains.
“I would say there's certainly a compulsion on both sides to continue the ceasefire, but… we are nowhere near resolution of the issues that led to the current conflict,” he said, adding that “one can't say that some stage down the line, it will not flare up again.”
Catch all the latest updates from the stock market here
“I don't think that poses any kind of security or any other concern for India. I think as far as India is concerned, it has a good relationship with the countries in the Arab world. It has a good working relationship with the US, a strong relationship with Iran, and with Israel,” Singh said, underscoring India’s balanced diplomatic outreach across key stakeholders.
He added that even Iran has shown sensitivity to India’s interests, noting, “they have permitted Indian flagships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, showing that they also attach value to the India relationship.”
Watch the full conversation here
However, Singh cautioned that the broader geopolitical situation remains far from resolved, with the current ceasefire likely to be a temporary pause rather than a durable solution.
“I don't think the 10 Point Plan will likely lead to any kind of enduring results… just a framework to start some kind of discussion,” he said, pointing to deep structural disagreements between Iran, the US, and Israel.
Each side, he explained, continues to pursue objectives that are difficult to reconcile. “I think we are in a situation where all the antagonists are unlikely to achieve their main objectives,” Singh noted, suggesting that any eventual outcome will require compromise.
Despite this, there is a strong incentive across all parties to sustain the ceasefire, at least in the near term.
Also Watch | Oil to drive rupee after April 10 as RBI impact fades: Kotak Securities
In the US, Singh said Donald Trump would feel “compulsion to bring the war to an end,” driven by domestic political pressures and constraints such as rising energy prices and limited interceptor missile stocks.
Iran, too, faces significant internal pressures. “Given the extent of damage that has been done to the infrastructure and the economy, I think there would also be compulsion on the Iranians to try and prolong the ceasefire,” he said.
As for Israel, Singh noted that it has “certainly degraded the capacity of the Iranian state to hit back,” which may reduce its immediate urgency to escalate further.
Still, critical faultlines remain unresolved, particularly around strategic control points and nuclear capabilities.
“The real challenge would be… what is going to be the regime to run Strait of Hormuz,” Singh said, highlighting concerns over Iran’s insistence that movement through the strait be coordinated with its military.
Also Read | US-Iran war duration key, not oil levels; IT, pharma attract flows: Mihir Vora
He also pointed to disagreements over nuclear policy, especially “the rights to enrichment for uranium that Iran has been insisting on,” which remain difficult for the US and Israel to accept.
Given these complexities, Singh warned that while the current phase may bring temporary stability, the risk of future flare-ups remains.
“I would say there's certainly a compulsion on both sides to continue the ceasefire, but… we are nowhere near resolution of the issues that led to the current conflict,” he said, adding that “one can't say that some stage down the line, it will not flare up again.”
Catch all the latest updates from the stock market here
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