Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 38: Analyzing Historical Goal Trends

What's Happening?

As the 2025/26 Premier League season approaches its final Gameweek 38, Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers are anticipating a high-scoring finale. Historical data from the past 15 seasons suggests that the final day often sees more goals per game than the season average. This trend was only broken in the previous season. Notably, nine of the last ten seasons have featured at least 30 goals on the final day, with a peak of 39 goals in the 2021/22 season. The data also indicates a lower-than-average number of clean sheets on the final day, with only four of the last 15 seasons exceeding the clean-sheet average. High-scoring matches have been a hallmark of Gameweek 38, with several games producing six or more goals.

Why It's Important?

The anticipation of a goal-fest on the final day of the Premier League season is significant for FPL managers who strategize to maximize their points. Understanding historical trends allows managers to make informed decisions about player selections, particularly targeting teams with nothing to lose or those involved in high-stakes matches. The potential for high-scoring games can influence the overall FPL rankings and determine the season's winners. Additionally, the final day excitement contributes to the Premier League's global appeal, drawing attention from fans and media worldwide.

What's Next?

As the final Gameweek approaches, FPL managers will closely monitor team news and player form to optimize their squads. The focus will be on teams with relegation battles or European qualification at stake, as these matches often produce unexpected results. Managers may also consider the impact of European finals on team selections, as clubs like Aston Villa and Crystal Palace might rest key players. The outcome of Gameweek 38 will not only conclude the FPL season but also set the stage for summer transfers and preparations for the next season.