Billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk on Saturday said the balance of power is changing, as he reposted on X, a chart originally posted by World of Statistics depicting the top 10 contributors to global real GDP growth in 2026, based on projections from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
The graphic, widely circulated on social media, places China and India at the top of the global growth leaderboard for the year ahead, with China contributing 26.6 per cent and India 17.0 per cent of all additional real GDP produced worldwide.
Together, they account for nearly 44 per cent of expected global growth, outpacing the combined contributions of most advanced economies.
Following China and India, the United States appears third on the list with 9.9 per
cent, while other emerging markets such as Indonesia, Türkiye, and Nigeria feature in the lower half of the top 10.
Reposting the same, Elon Musk on X wrote, “The balance of power is changing”.
The balance of power is changing https://t.co/mzk1KRHkcg
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) January 31, 2026
In its January 2026 global economy report, the IMF said the “Global growth is projected at 3.3 per cent for 2026 and 3.2 per cent for 2027, revised slightly up since the October 2025 World Economic Outlook.”
“Technology investment, fiscal and monetary support, accommodative financial conditions, and private sector adaptability offset trade policy shifts,” it added.
“Global inflation is expected to fall, but US inflation will return to target more gradually. Key downside risks are reevaluation of technology expectations and escalation of geopolitical tensions,” the IMF stated.
“Risks to the outlook remain tilted to the downside. Reevaluation of productivity growth expectations about AI could lead to a decline in investment and trigger an abrupt financial market correction, spreading from AI-linked companies to other segments and eroding household wealth,” it stated.
“Trade tensions could flare up, prolonging uncertainty and weighing more heavily on activity. Domestic political tensions or geopolitical tensions could erupt, introducing new layers of uncertainty and disrupting the global economy through their impact on financial markets, supply
chains, and commodity prices,” the report mentioned.
“Larger fiscal deficits and high public debt could put pressure on long-term interest rates and, in turn, on broader financial conditions.”
“On the upside, activity could be further lifted by AI-related investment and eventually transform into sustainable growth if faster AI adoption translates into strong productivity gains and increased business dynamism,” it stated.
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