Rupee settles 3 paise lower at 95.94 against US dollar after breaching 96 level

The rupee, which slipped below the 96 level in intraday trade, ended Thursday’s session with a loss of just 3 paise at ₹95.94 (provisional) against the US dollar, paring initial losses on likely RBI intervention.

The rupee ended almost flat amid a slight fall in the dollar index and crude oil prices, which supported investor sentiment despite global geopolitical volatility.

According to forex analysts, the local currency, however, stayed under pressure due to outflows of foreign funds and global trade uncertainties after the House of Representatives cleared a law authorising President Donald Trump to impose up to a 100% tariff on India and other countries importing Russian oil.

The domestic unit was also weighed down after the US Federal Reserve hiked interest rates for the first time in three years amid rising inflation, they said.

At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at ₹95.88 and hit the intraday low of ₹96.10, breaching the ₹96 level for the first time since July 24. The unit recovered during the session and touched the high of ₹95.78 before settling at ₹95.94 against the US dollar, 3 paise lower than the previous closing level.

”The Indian rupee experienced a highly volatile trading session on Thursday, initially buckling under a hawkish Fed onslaught and weaker Asian currency sentiment. However, those early losses proved fleeting as aggressive central bank intervention swooped in with heavy-handed dollar defence, pulling the local unit off the canvas to secure marginal gains,” Dilip Parmar – Senior Research Analyst, HDFC Securities.

Parmar further noted that ”turning to the technical outlook, the spot USD/INR pair remains in an overall upward trend following its recent surge, though we anticipate a period of short-term consolidation with key support around ₹95.45 and resistance capped at ₹96.30.” On Wednesday, the local unit ended 3 paise lower at ₹95.91 against the American currency, extending its downward trend for the seventh session in a row.

In the preceding six sessions, the rupee has lost 148 paise, or more than 1.4%, since the closing level of ₹94.43 against the greenback recorded on September 4.

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading 0.05% lower at 99.92.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was trading 1.29% lower at $104.47 per barrel in futures trade.

In domestic equities, Sensex fell 21.86 points, or 0.03%, to settle at 74,314.59, while the Nifty ended with a gain of 53.00 points, or 0.23%, at 23,270.60.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) offloaded equities worth ₹2,032.61 crore on a net basis on Wednesday, according to exchange data.