What is the story about?
Due to a declining rupee and indications that the central bank is nearing the end of its cycle of interest rate cuts, Indian government bonds that are eligible for inclusion in international indices are expected to see a record monthly outflow.
According to data from the Clearing Corporation of India, global funds have already sold $1.6 billion worth of bonds in December.
That represents the largest outflow since the creation of the so-called Fully Accessible Route in 2020, a structure that exempts some government bonds from restrictions on foreign investment. According to Standard Chartered Plc, outflows might persist in the upcoming months.
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Due to substantial state debt issuance, the withdrawals are putting pressure on Indian bonds, which are expected to see their largest monthly fall in four months in December.
Even though India is subject to the highest US tariffs in Asia, the sell-off has increased government borrowing prices. After the central bank hinted at greater inflation for the upcoming year, expectations for more significant interest rate cuts are also waning.
The rupee, which has been Asia's poorest performer so far this year, fell below the carefully watched 91-per-dollar threshold to an all-time low in December before rising as a result of central bank interventions.
According to data from the Clearing Corporation of India, global funds have already sold $1.6 billion worth of bonds in December.
That represents the largest outflow since the creation of the so-called Fully Accessible Route in 2020, a structure that exempts some government bonds from restrictions on foreign investment. According to Standard Chartered Plc, outflows might persist in the upcoming months.
Read Also: Meta in trouble? US Virgin Islands sues Zuckerberg-led company over ads for scams, dangers to children
Due to substantial state debt issuance, the withdrawals are putting pressure on Indian bonds, which are expected to see their largest monthly fall in four months in December.
Even though India is subject to the highest US tariffs in Asia, the sell-off has increased government borrowing prices. After the central bank hinted at greater inflation for the upcoming year, expectations for more significant interest rate cuts are also waning.
The rupee, which has been Asia's poorest performer so far this year, fell below the carefully watched 91-per-dollar threshold to an all-time low in December before rising as a result of central bank interventions.

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