What's Happening?
Recent polling data from New Hampshire indicates a narrowing gap in the congressional race between Democratic Representative Chris Pappas and former Senator John Sununu. The co/efficient survey conducted between October 9-13 among 1,034 likely voters
shows Pappas leading Sununu by a slim margin of 45 percent to 42 percent. This is consistent with previous polling data, although a UNH poll from September 29 showed Pappas with a slightly larger lead of 49 percent to 43 percent. Sununu, who has not yet announced his candidacy, is expected to enter the race soon, potentially challenging the Democratic hold on the seat previously occupied by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen.
Why It's Important?
The tightening race in New Hampshire is significant as it could signal a shift in political dynamics in the Northeast, traditionally a Democratic stronghold. With the 2026 midterms approaching, Democrats face the challenge of maintaining control in districts like New Hampshire, especially with redistricting expected to favor Republicans. Sununu's potential candidacy, backed by strong name recognition and moderate Republican appeal, could pose a formidable challenge to Democrats nationally, impacting their ability to retain control of Congress.
What's Next?
As the midterm elections approach, both parties are likely to intensify their campaign efforts in New Hampshire. Sununu's expected entry into the race could lead to increased political activity and fundraising efforts. The outcome of this race may influence broader national strategies for both Democrats and Republicans as they prepare for the 2026 elections.
