What's Happening?
President Trump's approval rating has tied a record low for his second term, according to a Morning Consult poll conducted between October 10-12. The poll shows a decline from 46% to 45% approval, with disapproval rising from 52% to 53%. This results in a net approval rating of -8 points, matching a previous low from August. The drop in approval comes as the government shutdown enters its third week, with Congress unable to resolve a funding deadlock. The shutdown is primarily due to disagreements over including Affordable Care Act subsidies in the spending bill.
Why It's Important?
The declining approval ratings could signal vulnerability for President Trump and the Republican Party as they approach the 2026 midterm elections. The ongoing government shutdown, which is largely blamed on Republicans, may further erode public support and complicate messaging for Republican candidates in swing districts. The shutdown's impact on federal workers and services could increase public dissatisfaction, potentially influencing voter turnout and election outcomes.
What's Next?
Political strategists anticipate that sustained low approval ratings could motivate opposition turnout in the midterms, challenging the Republican Party's hold on power. The government shutdown's resolution remains uncertain, with potential consequences for federal employees and public services. Lawmakers will need to negotiate a compromise to reopen the government and address public concerns.