What's Happening?
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has announced the completion of its troop withdrawal from Yemen, specifically from the island of Socotra. This move has been executed swiftly, but it remains uncertain whether the UAE will also cease its financial and commercial
support for the Southern Transitional Council (STC), which controls significant areas in southwestern Yemen. The UAE's involvement in Yemen has been framed as a counter-terrorism effort against ISIS, supporting the Internationally Recognized Government (IRG) of Yemen. However, the UAE's commercial interests in the region have led to speculation about its true motives. The UAE has established a strong commercial presence in Socotra, integrating the island into its network and economy. The recent withdrawal raises questions about the future of UAE's influence and the ongoing conflict in Yemen.
Why It's Important?
The UAE's withdrawal from Socotra is significant as it could alter the balance of power in Yemen. The UAE has been a key player in the coalition supporting the IRG against the Houthi rebels. Its withdrawal might weaken the STC, potentially leading to a shift in control over strategic areas. This development could impact the broader geopolitical dynamics in the region, affecting the interests of other countries involved, such as Saudi Arabia. The UAE's commercial interests in Socotra have also created economic dependencies, which could be disrupted, affecting the local economy and the livelihoods of Socotra's residents.
What's Next?
The withdrawal may lead to increased tensions between the STC and the IRG, backed by Saudi forces. The STC might attempt to regain control, but its leader, Aidarous Al Zubaidi, has been charged with treason and is in hiding. The IRG's reestablishment of authority in southern Yemen is seen as crucial for ending the civil war. The situation remains fluid, with potential for further clashes and shifts in alliances. The international community will likely monitor these developments closely, as they could influence the stability of the region and the security of shipping channels off Yemen.
