What's Happening?
Russia has established a network of agents to conduct hybrid warfare in Europe, according to a study by GLOBSEC and the International Center for Counter-Terrorism. This network involves government agencies, organized crime, and Russian-speaking individuals
with criminal records recruited for acts of sabotage. The study highlights that these operations are a central part of Russia's strategy amidst its war against Ukraine. Between January 2022 and July 2025, 110 acts of sabotage were reported, primarily in Poland and France, with 89 successful and 21 foiled attempts. Recruitment is mainly conducted online, particularly through Telegram, and financial incentives play a significant role in motivating recruits.
Why It's Important?
The findings underscore the threat posed by Russia's hybrid warfare tactics to European security. The use of criminal networks for sabotage operations highlights a complex challenge for the EU, intertwining illicit finance and sanctions evasion. This strategy not only punishes Europe for supporting Ukraine but also prepares for potential wider conflicts. The study calls for a broader understanding of hybrid threats and stronger cooperation between public and private sectors to enhance Europe's internal security capacities. The EU's response to these threats will be crucial in maintaining regional stability and countering Russia's influence.
What's Next?
The study recommends improved monitoring of online platforms like Telegram and a broader definition of hybrid threats to include non-state actors such as criminal organizations. Enhanced cooperation between public and private sectors is advocated to detect and prevent Russian criminal activities. The EU may need to invest more in internal security and redefine its strategies to address these hybrid threats effectively. The creation of a coordinated platform for cooperation is suggested to bolster defenses against Russian hybrid attacks.
Beyond the Headlines
The integration of criminal networks into state strategies by Russia is not new, reflecting historical ties to organized crime. This approach complicates legal accountability and challenges traditional security measures. The EU's ability to adapt to these unconventional threats will be pivotal in safeguarding its democratic institutions and maintaining geopolitical stability.
