What's Happening?
A new Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media poll for the 2026 Texas elections reveals Rep. James Talarico leading the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate with 47%, followed by Rep. Jasmine Crockett at 38%. In the Republican Primary, incumbent Senator John
Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton are nearly tied, with 27% and 26% support respectively. The poll indicates a potential runoff in the GOP primary, as neither candidate is likely to secure 50% of the vote.
Why It's Important?
The poll results highlight the competitive nature of the upcoming Texas Senate races, with significant implications for party control in the Senate. Talarico's lead among Hispanic and white voters suggests shifting demographics could influence Democratic strategies. The tight race between Cornyn and Paxton underscores internal divisions within the GOP, potentially affecting party unity and voter turnout. These dynamics are critical for understanding the broader political landscape in Texas and its impact on national politics.
What's Next?
As the primaries approach, candidates will likely intensify their campaigns to secure undecided voters. The potential runoff in the GOP primary could lead to strategic alliances and increased campaign spending. Both parties will focus on key issues such as the economy, immigration, and healthcare to appeal to Texas voters. The outcomes of these races will be closely watched as indicators of broader electoral trends in the 2026 midterms.
