What's Happening?
Governor Larry Rhoden of South Dakota is seeking a full term as the state's chief executive after stepping into the role when former Governor Kristi Noem joined President Trump's Cabinet in early 2025. Rhoden, who was previously the lieutenant governor,
is facing a competitive Republican primary against U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson, state House Speaker Jon Hansen, and businessman Toby Doeden. The winner of this primary will face former state Sen. Dan Ahlers, who is unopposed for the Democratic nomination, in the general election. The primary also includes races for the U.S. Senate and U.S. House, with Republican Mike Rounds seeking a third term in the Senate and State Attorney General Marty Jackley running for the U.S. House. The primary is significant as South Dakota is a reliably Republican state, and the winners of the GOP primaries are expected to have an advantage in the general election.
Why It's Important?
The outcome of the South Dakota Republican primary is crucial as it will determine the candidates for the general election in a state that typically leans Republican. Governor Rhoden's ability to secure a full term could impact the state's political landscape, especially given his association with former Governor Noem and President Trump. The primary also highlights the influence of endorsements, as President Trump has endorsed candidates in other races but not in the gubernatorial race. The results could also affect the balance of power in the U.S. Senate and House, with implications for national policy and legislative priorities.
What's Next?
The primary election will take place on Tuesday, with polls closing at 7 p.m. local time. If no candidate receives at least 35% of the vote, a runoff will be held on June 23. The results will be closely watched, especially in key counties like Minnehaha and Pennington, which are home to Sioux Falls and Rapid City, respectively. The general election campaign will follow, with the Republican nominees expected to have a strong advantage in the general election due to the state's Republican-leaning electorate.
