What's Happening?
Adobe's 2025 Holiday Spending Report forecasts a record £26.9 billion in online spending for the holiday season, marking the third consecutive year of growth. The report highlights significant trends,
including a surge in mobile shopping, which is expected to account for over 56% of online purchases. Additionally, traffic from Generative AI platforms is projected to increase by 410% as consumers use AI tools for gift ideas. Social media channels like Instagram and TikTok are also expected to drive substantial growth, particularly among Gen Z and Millennials. The report notes a growing consumer preference for Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) options, with £3.8 billion anticipated to be processed through this method during the holiday season.
Why It's Important?
The forecasted increase in online holiday spending underscores the evolving landscape of retail, where mobile and AI technologies play a pivotal role. Retailers that adapt to these trends by enhancing mobile experiences and leveraging AI for customer engagement are likely to benefit significantly. The rise in BNPL usage indicates a shift in consumer spending habits, allowing for more flexible payment options. This trend could lead to increased sales of premium products as consumers are expected to 'trade up' during the holiday season. The report's findings suggest that retailers who invest in AI optimization and social media strategies will be well-positioned to capitalize on these consumer behaviors.
What's Next?
Retailers are expected to focus on optimizing their online platforms for mobile and AI interactions to capture the anticipated increase in traffic. As social media continues to influence purchasing decisions, businesses may increase their investment in influencer marketing and targeted advertising on platforms like Instagram and TikTok. The growing popularity of BNPL services may prompt retailers to expand these offerings, potentially leading to partnerships with financial technology companies. Additionally, the trend of consumers trading up to more expensive goods could encourage retailers to offer attractive discounts on premium products to drive sales.
Beyond the Headlines
The report highlights a potential shift in consumer behavior towards more sustainable and ethical shopping practices, as AI and social media platforms increasingly influence purchasing decisions. Retailers may need to consider the ethical implications of AI-driven marketing strategies and ensure transparency in their use of consumer data. The rise of BNPL services also raises questions about consumer debt and financial literacy, suggesting a need for greater education around responsible spending. As the retail landscape continues to evolve, businesses must navigate these complex dynamics to maintain consumer trust and loyalty.











