What's Happening?
Prosper Global, formerly known as Mercy Corps, is initiating a study in Jordan to analyze the economic implications of Syrian refugee returns. This consultancy is part of a broader initiative, 'Strengthening Regional Policy Dialogue and Partnerships on Solutions,'
a collaboration between Prosper Global and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), funded by the Regional Development and Protection Program (RDPP). The study, titled 'Return Implications for Host Economies,' will examine how Syrian refugee returns since December 2024 have affected Jordan's labor markets, consumer demand, local services, public finances, and investment. It will also compare these findings with similar studies in Lebanon and Syria to identify common challenges and opportunities. The Jordan-specific study will combine national secondary data with primary data collection, focusing on sectors and localities with high concentrations of Syrian refugees, and will differentiate between periods before and after December 2024.
Why It's Important?
This study is crucial for understanding the complex economic shifts occurring in Jordan due to the ongoing return of Syrian refugees. Jordan has been a significant host country for Syrian refugees, and their integration into the labor market, particularly in sectors like agriculture, construction, and manufacturing, has had a notable impact. The sharp decline in work permits issued to Syrians as returns increase, coupled with wider economic pressures and decreasing aid budgets, presents significant challenges for Jordan's economy. The findings will provide evidence-based insights for policymakers, the private sector, and local actors in Jordan, as well as for UN agencies, donors, and humanitarian and development organizations. This information is vital for developing adaptive solutions and regional recommendations to support policy dialogue and planning for refugee and displaced communities, ensuring more effective and sustainable responses to humanitarian crises.
What's Next?
The consultant for the Jordan study will proceed with combining national secondary data with primary data collection. This will involve focused research on the most affected sectors and localities with the highest concentration of Syrian refugees. The analysis will specifically distinguish between the economic conditions and impacts before and after December 2024, when large-scale returns began. Once the Jordan study is complete, its findings will be compared with those from similar studies conducted in Lebanon and Syria. This comparative analysis aims to identify common challenges, opportunities, and areas of convergence across the host economies. The ultimate goal is to develop regional recommendations that will inform policy dialogue with host governments, the private sector, and local actors, and guide the planning of UN agencies, donors, and humanitarian and development organizations in addressing the long-term implications of refugee returns.
Beyond the Headlines
The 'Return Implications for Host Economies' study delves into the intricate socio-economic fabric of host countries like Jordan, highlighting the long-term consequences of displacement and return. Beyond immediate economic indicators, the study implicitly touches upon the social integration and potential reintegration challenges faced by returning populations. The focus on labor markets, consumer demand, and public services underscores the interconnectedness of humanitarian aid, economic development, and national stability. The initiative's emphasis on evidence-based advocacy and partnerships suggests a shift towards more data-driven and collaborative approaches in addressing complex humanitarian crises. This approach acknowledges that sustainable solutions require a deep understanding of local contexts and the active participation of various stakeholders, moving beyond short-term relief to foster long-term prosperity and resilience in affected communities.
