What's Happening?
North Korea is reportedly facing significant demographic challenges, with a declining fertility rate and an aging population. The country has not conducted a census since 2008, making it difficult to obtain
accurate demographic data. However, estimates suggest that the fertility rate is around 1.8 births per woman, below the replacement rate of 2.1. Approximately 60% of the population is believed to live below the poverty line, and social safety nets have collapsed. In response, the government has established senior centers in Pyongyang, offering services such as therapeutic exercise and spa treatments. These centers are seen as a propaganda project aimed at improving social cohesion and the country's international reputation.
Why It's Important?
The demographic challenges in North Korea could have significant implications for the country's future. An aging population and declining birth rates may strain the already limited resources and social services. The government's efforts to address these issues, such as establishing senior centers, may not be sufficient to counteract the broader demographic trends. Additionally, the lack of accurate data due to the absence of a census complicates efforts to plan and implement effective policies. The upcoming Ninth People's Congress may address these issues, potentially announcing new support for the elderly.
What's Next?
North Korean officials are expected to convene early next year for the Ninth People's Congress, where they will outline the country's economic agenda for the next five years. It remains to be seen whether new measures to support the elderly will be announced during these meetings. The government may also continue to focus on initiatives aimed at increasing the birth rate, such as cracking down on black market contraceptive vendors and illegal abortions.
