What's Happening?
Disney is facing significant challenges as its networks, including ABC and ESPN, remain blacked out on YouTube TV due to a carriage agreement dispute. This outage, now entering its second week, coincides with the football and NBA/NHL seasons, potentially
impacting ratings-linked ad revenue. YouTube has proposed restoring ABC/ESPN channels while negotiations continue, offering subscribers $20 credits as compensation. Meanwhile, Disney is set to release its fiscal Q4 and full-year FY25 results on November 13, with analysts expecting earnings per share of approximately $1.03 and revenue around $22.8 billion. The company is also focusing on its direct-to-consumer strategy, particularly with ESPN's new app, and its parks and experiences segment, highlighted by the recent debut of 'Zootopia: Better Zoogether!' at Animal Kingdom.
Why It's Important?
The ongoing blackout on YouTube TV could significantly affect Disney's advertising revenue, especially during peak sports seasons. This situation underscores the importance of resolving distribution disputes swiftly to maintain revenue streams and subscriber satisfaction. Additionally, Disney's upcoming earnings report will be crucial in assessing the company's financial health and strategic direction, particularly in streaming and direct-to-consumer services. The performance of ESPN's new app and the success of Disney's parks and experiences will be key indicators of future growth potential. Investors are closely watching these developments, as they could influence Disney's stock performance and market positioning.
What's Next?
Disney's negotiations with YouTube TV are critical, as any resolution could alleviate immediate revenue pressures and improve subscriber sentiment. The company's earnings report on November 13 will provide insights into its financial performance and strategic initiatives, potentially affecting stock valuations. Disney's focus on direct-to-consumer services and park experiences will continue to be pivotal in driving growth, with the success of new offerings like ESPN's app and 'Zootopia: Better Zoogether!' playing a significant role. Regulatory reviews of ESPN's media transactions could also impact future operations and integration timelines.












