What's Happening?
The U.S. is facing a significant increase in turkey prices due to a worsening bird flu epidemic. According to industry watchdog Farm Forward, approximately 3 million turkeys have died from Highly Pathogenic
Avian Influenza (HPAI) this year, more than doubling the total bird flu deaths in 2024. This loss represents about 1.45% of the total U.S. turkey flock, leading to a 26% rise in wholesale turkey prices compared to last year. Some projections suggest the price increase could be as high as 40%. The U.S. turkey flock is currently at a 40-year low, with production expected to be down 5% from 2024. The outbreak has intensified recently, with 110 outbreaks on commercial turkey farms in 2025, particularly affecting Minnesota and Ohio.
Why It's Important?
The rising turkey prices are expected to impact consumers significantly, especially with the holiday season approaching. The increased cost of turkey could strain household budgets and affect Thanksgiving celebrations across the country. The epidemic highlights vulnerabilities in the U.S. poultry industry, which has been criticized for prioritizing profits over public health. The lack of mandatory HPAI testing protocols and vaccination programs has been pointed out as contributing factors to the spread of the disease. This situation underscores the need for policy changes to prevent future outbreaks and ensure food security.
What's Next?
As the bird flu epidemic continues, there may be increased pressure on federal and state governments to implement stricter regulations and preventive measures in the poultry industry. Consumers might seek alternative protein sources or adjust their holiday meal plans due to the high turkey prices. The ongoing situation could also lead to discussions about the sustainability and safety of current poultry farming practices, potentially prompting reforms aimed at reducing the risk of future outbreaks.
Beyond the Headlines
The bird flu epidemic raises ethical and environmental concerns about the current state of poultry farming in the U.S. The reliance on concentrated animal feeding operations has been criticized for creating conditions that facilitate the spread of diseases like HPAI. This crisis could lead to a broader conversation about the need for more sustainable and humane farming practices, as well as the role of government oversight in protecting public health and ensuring food safety.
