What's Happening?
Recent polling data indicates that President Trump's approval ratings have reached a new low during his second term. According to Nate Silver, a prominent pollster, Trump's net approval rating has dropped
to -10.8 percentage points, marking a significant decline. This downturn is attributed to various factors, including the ongoing government shutdown. Polls from YouGov/The Economist and Ipsos/Reuters show particularly low approval ratings, with net figures of -19 and -17 percentage points, respectively. Even traditionally favorable pollsters like Rasmussen Reports and RMG Research report negative net ratings for Trump.
Why It's Important?
The decline in President Trump's approval ratings is significant as it reflects public dissatisfaction with his administration's handling of current issues, particularly the government shutdown. This sentiment could have broader implications for the Republican Party, especially with the upcoming midterm elections in November 2026. A continued decline in approval could weaken the party's position and influence voter turnout and preferences. The ratings also serve as a barometer for public support of Trump's policies, potentially affecting legislative agendas and party strategies.
What's Next?
As the government shutdown continues, there is potential for further fluctuations in President Trump's approval ratings. The resolution of the shutdown could lead to an improvement in public perception, as suggested by Heath Brown, a public policy professor. The upcoming midterm elections will be a critical test of Trump's and the Republican Party's standing with the electorate. The party's ability to address the shutdown and other pressing issues will likely influence voter sentiment and election outcomes.
