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Dell'Oro Projects 21% Annual Growth in Data Center Capex Through 2029

WHAT'S THE STORY?

What's Happening?

According to Dell'Oro Group, global data center capital expenditure (capex) is expected to grow at a 21% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) through 2029. Hyperscale cloud providers are projected to contribute half of the $1.2 trillion in global data center capex during this period. The growth is driven by the increasing adoption of AI, with GPUs and custom AI chips representing about one-third of total capex. Investments are also strong across racks, general-purpose compute, storage, networking, and physical facilities. The report highlights that over 50 GW of new capacity will be added globally in the next five years, despite a potential slowdown in 2026.
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Why It's Important?

The surge in data center capex reflects the growing demand for high-performance computing as AI adoption expands across industries. This trend is significant for the U.S., which accounted for $3.73 billion of the global AI data center market last year and is forecast to reach $46.15 billion by 2034. The expansion of data center infrastructure is crucial for supporting AI-driven innovations and maintaining competitiveness in the global market. As hyperscalers and colocation firms invest in vertically integrated platforms and custom chip architectures, they aim to boost performance and reduce compute costs, aligning with national strategies around AI infrastructure.

What's Next?

The continued investment in data center infrastructure is expected to support the growth of AI applications across various industries. As the top U.S.-based cloud service providers, including Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft, account for nearly half of global data center capex, their strategies will likely influence the direction of AI infrastructure development. Additionally, the Asia-Pacific region is projected to be the fastest-growing market, driven by smart city initiatives and supportive government policies.

Beyond the Headlines

The expansion of AI data centers may raise concerns about energy consumption and environmental impact, prompting the need for sustainable practices and innovations such as underwater cooling technology. Furthermore, the integration of AI into data center operations may lead to ethical considerations regarding data privacy and security.

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