Reuters    •   4 min read

Volkswagen lowers guidance after taking $1.5-billion tariff hit in H1

WHAT'S THE STORY?

By Rachel More

BERLIN (Reuters) -Volkswagen reported a 1.3-billion-euro ($1.5-billion) first-half hit from tariffs and cut its full-year sales and profit margin forecasts in the German carmaker's first assessment of the damage from U.S. President Donald Trump's trade war.

European auto makers have booked billions of euros of losses and issued profit warnings as they face U.S. import tariffs, stiffening competition from China, and domestic regulations aimed at speeding up the electric-vehicle (EV) transition.

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Volkswagen now expects this year's operating profit margin between 4% and 5%, compared with a previously forecast 5.5-6.5% range, Europe's biggest carmaker said, giving its long-awaited assessment of the impact of tariffs alongside quarterly results.

Full-year sales are expected to be level with the previous year, versus a previously forecast rise of up to 5%.

Tariffs alone cost the carmaker 1.3 billion euros in the first six months of 2025, the company said.

Volkswagen shares were indicated 3.5% lower in Frankfurt pre-market trade after the quarterly results and guidance cut.

Volkswagen and its competitors are pressing European trade negotiators to strike a deal to reduce a 25% punitive tariff they have faced since April. One industry proposal is to use their U.S. investments and exports as leverage to soften any blow.

Volkswagen said its results would land at the lower end of forecast ranges if the tariffs remained unchanged for the rest of the year, or at the upper end under a scenario with a reduced rate of 10%.

"There is high uncertainty about further developments with regard to the tariffs, their impact and any reciprocal effects," the quarterly statement said.

EU diplomats have indicated that the bloc could be moving towards a broad 15% tariff as it seeks to avoid a separate 30% levy from August 1. A deal struck between the U.S. and Japan earlier this week raised hopes for a similar agreement for Europe, boosting carmakers' shares.

Volkswagen reported an operating profit of 3.8 billion euros in the quarter ended June 30, down 29% on the previous year, citing tariffs and restructuring costs, as well as higher sales of lower-margin all-electric models.

Car sales data for June underpinned a broader slowdown in Europe's struggling auto sector - and showed Volkswagen among the laggards as the company undergoes a major overhaul to cut over 35,000 jobs by the end of the decade.

($1 = 0.8515 euros)

(Reporting by Rachel More, Editing by Friederike Heine)

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